Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.057334 0.065175 0.073241 0.082124 0.091604 0.101387 0.112219
2025-07-06 0.044239 0.055747 0.068245 0.082677 0.098741 0.115941 0.135628
2025-07-13 0.039709 0.054039 0.070224 0.089519 0.111584 0.135750 0.163953
2025-07-20 0.031462 0.046723 0.064719 0.086898 0.112954 0.142119 0.176783
2025-07-27 0.028280 0.044924 0.065193 0.090774 0.121389 0.156159 0.197978
2025-08-03 0.024340 0.041631 0.063425 0.091607 0.125963 0.165532 0.213668
2025-08-10 0.020859 0.038492 0.061492 0.091935 0.129686 0.173726 0.227845
2025-08-17 0.017369 0.034900 0.058636 0.090823 0.131433 0.179412 0.238952
2025-08-24 0.013413 0.030097 0.053761 0.086787 0.129293 0.180232 0.244137
2025-08-31 0.010559 0.026531 0.050240 0.084230 0.128767 0.182812 0.251255
2025-09-07 0.008736 0.024344 0.048461 0.083818 0.130827 0.188442 0.261948
2025-09-14 0.007571 0.023109 0.047946 0.085027 0.134904 0.196511 0.275560
2025-09-21 0.007166 0.023374 0.049907 0.090020 0.144395 0.211907 0.298859
2025-09-28 0.005745 0.021476 0.048478 0.090284 0.147781 0.219854 0.313321
2025-10-05 0.005825 0.022638 0.051877 0.097433 0.160327 0.239361 0.342036
2025-10-12 0.004158 0.019693 0.048476 0.094673 0.159573 0.242044 0.350039
2025-10-19 0.003802 0.019647 0.049790 0.098744 0.167985 0.256350 0.372413
2025-10-26 0.003048 0.018411 0.048987 0.099619 0.172024 0.265066 0.387861
2025-11-02 0.002352 0.017079 0.047886 0.099963 0.175282 0.272749 0.402010
2025-11-09 0.001634 0.015332 0.045872 0.098795 0.176371 0.277581 0.412557
2025-11-16 0.000863 0.012759 0.042016 0.094555 0.173009 0.276507 0.415578
2025-11-23 0.000428 0.010899 0.039265 0.091867 0.171692 0.278003 0.421764
2025-11-30 0.000222 0.009830 0.037971 0.091434 0.173528 0.283609 0.433142